3 Best Bets for Sunday’s Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Per F1 Odds, Picks & Predictions (November 20)

Would you believe that Mercedes actually took first place in a Formula One race during the 2022 season?

Last week in Brazil, in what can only be described as a mildly surprising turn of events, George Russell won the race to give the Silver Arrows their first victory of the year. Lewis Hamilton finished in second place to give the team a double podium finish.

Regarding our wagers, we had a fantastic week, going a perfect 3-0. Alpine managed to finish in the top half of the standings with two points despite their best efforts to do otherwise. The race was won by Lewis Hamilton, who finished ahead of Charles Leclerc, in that particular matchup. Our cross-sport parlay, which included Pierre Gasly’s victory over Yuki Tsunoda and the Kansas City Chiefs winning the moneyline, was successful in the end.

As a result of these outcomes, our record for the entire season now stands at 32-31 (+4 units), and we are getting ready to present our last three picks for the 2022 season in Abu Dhabi.

Winner of the Race Was Lewis Hamilton (+250 at OKBET 365)
It’s possible that I’m thinking too much with my emotions, but it seems to me that Lewis Hamilton has a good chance of winning this race.

Fans of Formula 1 will be aware that this is Hamilton’s last opportunity to keep his “win a race every season” streak alive, and there is no better place for him to win than at the track where he was defeated in the previous season. In addition, ever since Mercedes installed their final upgrade package prior to the United States Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton has placed second in each of the last three races he has competed in. This leaves only one path for Hamilton to advance: he must finish higher.

In addition, there will be a correlative circuit to Abu Dhabi included within that span of three races. There are some parallels to be drawn between the Yas Marina Circuit and the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, which is where Hamilton finished second after qualifying fifth.

In addition, Hamilton has a distinguished past at this particular circuit. If you want to find the last time he didn’t finish on the podium in Abu Dhabi, you have to go all the way back to 2013. Hamilton has won half of the last eight races that have been held there.

As a consequence of this, I will put my money on Hamilton, who has improved his odds in the outright market from +250 to +225 at BetMGM as of the time of this writing.

Sebastian Vettel Finished in the Points (-105 at OKBET)
We provided support for this particular market in Austin, and I’m ready to provide support for it once more at a track that is comparable.

This year, Sebastian Vettel has competed in four races at correlative circuits. Due to a positive COVID test, he was forced to sit out the races in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia. In spite of this, he has not yet finished outside the points in any of those four grand prix races (Austin, Baku, Spa, and Singapore).

In addition to that, it’s not as if he’s squeezing by with the barest of margins. During those four competitions, Vettel finished in eighth place three times and in sixth place once (in Azerbaijan). In addition, Vettel finished in position 11 with Aston Martin at the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix last year. This means that Aston Martin still has a chance to pass Alfa Romeo in the constructors’ championship.

Vettel’s Saturday qualifying performances on comparable tracks leave something to be desired, as evidenced by the fact that he has only qualified in the points in one of those four grand prix. This is the one area that presents a cause for concern regarding Vettel.

On the other hand, given that this is supposed to be his last race (again, an emotional factor), I’ll bet up to 115 dollars that Vettel will finish in the points.

Kevin Magnussen over Guanyu Zhou (+110 at BetMGM)
Even though this bet on Magnussen is primarily based on taking advantage of the price differential between him and Zhou, I continue to believe that there are good arguments in his favor.

Bettors will find that Magnussen has a head-to-head advantage over the Alfa Romeo rookie of 4-1 in the remaining five races at correlative circuits if the Azerbaijan Grand Prix is removed from the sample. The Azerbaijan Grand Prix was part of the sample. In addition to that, Magnussen finished in the points on three of those four occasions, which leads us to believe that this particular type of track plays to the Haas driver’s strengths.

In addition, Magnussen has a head-to-head advantage of 2-0 on race day in the two most recent grand prix held at correlative circuits, which were held in Austin and Singapore respectively.

On the other hand, Zhou has not had much success so far this season in competitions that are similar to these. The Formula One rookie has finished in positions 10th, 11th, 14th, 16th, and 12th across all six qualifying races.

Given that Magnussen appears to have a higher potential, I will gladly take him in a position where he is the underdog. In addition, Magnussen has an additional incentive to perform well given that Haas is competing against AlphaTauri for eighth place in the constructors’ championship.

In this head-to-head matchup, bet on him at odds of up to -110.